MLB Home Run Picks — Friday, July 24, 2026

The top home run bets for Friday, July 24, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. James Wood
   WSH · LHH · vs Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ) — 0.72 HR/9
   99HR Score

   13.1%HR Probability

   +310Best Odds
2. Yordan Alvarez
   HOU · LHH · vs Davis Martin (CWS) — 0.56 HR/9
   99HR Score

   24.4%HR Probability

   +240Best Odds
3. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Cam Schlittler (NYY) — 0.70 HR/9
   99HR Score

   26.1%HR Probability

   +245Best Odds
4. Max Muncy
   LAD · LHH · vs Sean Manaea (NYM) — 0.89 HR/9
   95HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +375Best Odds
5. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) — 1.48 HR/9
   95HR Score

   31.7%HR Probability

   +310Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.