MLB Home Run Picks — Saturday, July 25, 2026

The top home run bets for Saturday, July 25, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Ryan Weathers (NYY) — 1.11 HR/9
   99HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +310Best Odds
2. Yordan Alvarez
   HOU · LHH · vs Sean Burke (CWS) — 1.13 HR/9
   99HR Score

   39.9%HR Probability

   +235Best Odds
3. James Wood
   WSH · LHH · vs Mitch Bratt (AZ) — 2.38 HR/9
   98HR Score

   33.9%HR Probability

   +300Best Odds
4. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Hunter Brown (HOU) — 1.05 HR/9
   94HR Score

   28.6%HR Probability

   +350Best Odds
5. Junior Caminero
   TB · RHH · vs Tanner Bibee (CLE) — 1.01 HR/9
   93HR Score

   31.9%HR Probability

   +255Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.