MLB Home Run Picks — Sunday, July 26, 2026

The top home run bets for Sunday, July 26, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Yordan Alvarez
   HOU · LHH · vs Erick Fedde (CWS) — 0.88 HR/9
   99HR Score

   28.5%HR Probability

   +210Best Odds
2. Shohei Ohtani
   LAD · LHH · vs Freddy Peralta (NYM) — 1.60 HR/9
   97HR Score

   31.5%HR Probability

   +260Best Odds
3. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Will Warren (NYY) — 1.58 HR/9
   96HR Score

   37.0%HR Probability

   +200Best Odds
4. James Wood
   WSH · LHH · vs Kohl Drake (AZ) — 2.00 HR/9
   95HR Score

   2.2%HR Probability

   +315Best Odds
5. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Ronel Blanco (HOU) — 4.26 HR/9
   95HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +265Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.