MLB Home Run Picks — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

The top home run bets for Wednesday, August 5, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Yordan Alvarez
   HOU · LHH · vs Jameson Taillon (TOR) — 3.32 HR/9
   99HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +280Best Odds
2. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Jake Irvin (WSH) — 1.25 HR/9
   99HR Score

   37.6%HR Probability

   +210Best Odds
3. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Sonny Gray (BOS) — 0.99 HR/9
   94HR Score

   29.3%HR Probability

   +313Best Odds
4. Max Muncy
   LAD · LHH · vs Shota Imanaga (CHC) — 2.06 HR/9
   93HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +368Best Odds
5. Shohei Ohtani
   LAD · LHH · vs Shota Imanaga (CHC) — 2.06 HR/9
   91HR Score

   41.0%HR Probability

   +234Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.