MLB Home Run Picks — Monday, August 24, 2026

The top home run bets for Monday, August 24, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Kumar Rocker (TEX) — 1.67 HR/9
   99HR Score

   39.0%HR Probability

   +338Best Odds
2. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Logan Gilbert (SEA) — 1.22 HR/9
   95HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +280Best Odds
3. Oneil Cruz
   PIT · LHH · vs Robbie Ray (SD) — 0.23 HR/9
   90HR Score

   6.3%HR Probability

   +425Best Odds
4. Hunter Goodman
   COL · RHH · vs Cade Cavalli (WSH) — 0.84 HR/9
   86HR Score

   22.7%HR Probability

   +340Model Odds
5. Colson Montgomery
   CWS · LHH · vs Kumar Rocker (TEX) — 1.67 HR/9
   84HR Score

   27.0%HR Probability

   +420Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.