MLB Home Run Picks — Wednesday, August 26, 2026

The top home run bets for Wednesday, August 26, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs MacKenzie Gore (TEX) — 0.47 HR/9
   99HR Score

   9.9%HR Probability

   +380Best Odds
2. Yordan Alvarez
   HOU · LHH · vs Elmer Rodríguez (NYY) — 0.87 HR/9
   94HR Score

   3.7%HR Probability

   +270Best Odds
3. Aaron Judge
   NYY · RHH · vs Peter Lambert (HOU) — 1.29 HR/9
   92HR Score

   23.8%HR Probability

   +319Model Odds
4. Oneil Cruz
   PIT · LHH · vs Randy Vásquez (SD) — 1.05 HR/9
   91HR Score

   28.5%HR Probability

   +340Best Odds
5. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Bryan Woo (SEA) — 1.24 HR/9
   90HR Score

   29.8%HR Probability

   +251Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.