MLB Home Run Picks — Tuesday, September 8, 2026

The top home run bets for Tuesday, September 8, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Bubba Chandler (PIT) — 1.28 HR/9
   99HR Score

   29.7%HR Probability

   +271Best Odds
2. Yordan Alvarez
   HOU · LHH · vs Andrew Painter (PHI) — 1.60 HR/9
   97HR Score

   42.2%HR Probability

   +235Best Odds
3. Kyle Schwarber
   PHI · LHH · vs Hayden Wesneski (HOU) — 0.67 HR/9
   97HR Score

   45.0%HR Probability

   +215Best Odds
4. Pete Alonso
   BAL · RHH · vs Tanner Bibee (CLE) — 0.89 HR/9
   97HR Score

   18.6%HR Probability

   +340Best Odds
5. Matt Olson
   ATL · LHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 1.54 HR/9
   96HR Score

   43.7%HR Probability

   +340Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.