MLB Home Run Picks — Wednesday, October 7, 2026

The top home run bets for Wednesday, October 7, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Munetaka Murakami
   CWS · LHH · vs Daniel Espino (CLE) — 0.00 HR/9
   99HR Score

   4.8%HR Probability

   +390Best Odds
2. Matt Olson
   ATL · LHH · vs Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — 0.81 HR/9
   88HR Score

   19.1%HR Probability

   +423Model Odds
3. Ben Rice
   NYY · LHH · vs Nick Martinez (TB) — 1.11 HR/9
   84HR Score

   42.3%HR Probability

   +320Best Odds
4. Spencer Jones
   NYY · LHH · vs Nick Martinez (TB) — 1.11 HR/9
   83HR Score

   12.4%HR Probability

   +490Best Odds
5. Max Muncy
   LAD · LHH · vs Tyler Mahle (ATL) — 1.23 HR/9
   82HR Score

   29.1%HR Probability

   +243Model Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.