MLB Home Run Picks — Tuesday, October 13, 2026

The top home run bets for Tuesday, October 13, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Junior Caminero
   TB · RHH · vs Parker Messick (CLE) — 0.79 HR/9
   99HR Score

   11.6%HR Probability

   +350Best Odds
2. Jo Adell
   CLE · RHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 0.88 HR/9
   85HR Score

   5.6%HR Probability

   +512Best Odds
3. Patrick Bailey
   CLE · SHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 1.43 HR/9
   79HR Score

   18.7%HR Probability

   +940Best Odds
4. Ryan Vilade
   TB · RHH · vs Parker Messick (CLE) — 0.79 HR/9
   79HR Score

   12.8%HR Probability

   +760Best Odds
5. Angel Martínez
   CLE · SHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 1.43 HR/9
   75HR Score

   13.3%HR Probability

   +820Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.