MLB Home Run Picks — Saturday, October 24, 2026

The top home run bets for Saturday, October 24, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Junior Caminero
   TB · RHH · vs Logan Henderson (MIL) — 1.06 HR/9
   99HR Score

   24.8%HR Probability

   +480Best Odds
2. Jake Bauers
   MIL · LHH · vs Drew Rasmussen (TB) — 0.92 HR/9
   87HR Score

   12.3%HR Probability

   +490Best Odds
3. Victor Mesa Jr.
   TB · LHH · vs Logan Henderson (MIL) — 1.41 HR/9
   86HR Score

   19.2%HR Probability

   +650Best Odds
4. Jackson Chourio
   MIL · RHH · vs Drew Rasmussen (TB) — 0.50 HR/9
   85HR Score

   8.3%HR Probability

   +575Best Odds
5. William Contreras
   MIL · RHH · vs Drew Rasmussen (TB) — 0.50 HR/9
   75HR Score

   9.0%HR Probability

   +680Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.