MLB Home Run Picks — Monday, October 26, 2026

The top home run bets for Monday, October 26, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Junior Caminero
   TB · RHH · vs Robert Gasser (MIL) — 1.58 HR/9
   99HR Score

   25.0%HR Probability

   +390Best Odds
2. Jackson Chourio
   MIL · RHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 0.88 HR/9
   88HR Score

   12.7%HR Probability

   +525Best Odds
3. Jake Bauers
   MIL · LHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 1.43 HR/9
   78HR Score

   16.2%HR Probability

   +550Best Odds
4. Ryan Vilade
   TB · RHH · vs Robert Gasser (MIL) — 1.58 HR/9
   72HR Score

   13.9%HR Probability

   +750Best Odds
5. William Contreras
   MIL · RHH · vs Freddy Peralta (TB) — 0.88 HR/9
   72HR Score

   8.6%HR Probability

   +620Best Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.