MLB Home Run Picks — Wednesday, October 28, 2026

The top home run bets for Wednesday, October 28, 2026, ranked by the Dingers.AI model. Each pick blends Statcast contact quality, recent form, ballpark home run factors, the opposing pitcher's HR/9, and game-time weather into a single HR Score (0–99).

Today's Top 5 Home Run Picks

1. Junior Caminero
   TB · RHH · vs Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — 0.95 HR/9
   99HR Score

   19.9%HR Probability

   +403Model Odds
2. Jackson Chourio
   MIL · RHH · vs TBD (TB)
   91HR Score

   15.3%HR Probability

   +554Model Odds
3. Jake Bauers
   MIL · LHH · vs TBD (TB)
   82HR Score

   12.7%HR Probability

   +686Model Odds
4. William Contreras
   MIL · RHH · vs TBD (TB)
   75HR Score

   8.9%HR Probability

   +1029Model Odds
5. Ryan Vilade
   TB · RHH · vs Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — 0.95 HR/9
   72HR Score

   8.4%HR Probability

   +1085Model Odds

See the full live board → Build a HR parlay

How these home run picks are made

Dingers.AI scores every hitter in the day's MLB slate for home run probability. The model weights Statcast contact quality most heavily (barrel rate, exit velocity, hard-hit %, launch angle), then layers in recent power form, park factors by handedness, the starting pitcher's home-run vulnerability, and live weather. See the full methodology on how it works, browse live HR prop odds, or view the complete home run prediction table.